Banking
Calibrating Heston for credit risk
Marco de Innocentis and Sergei Levendorskiĭ describe a faster and more accurate method for market-implied calibration of the Heston model
Haircutting non-cash collateral
Wujiang Lou develops a parametric haircut model to conduct sensitivity tests and capture market liquidity risk
Extremely (un)likely: a plausibility approach to stress testing
CCP’s risk managers propose a framework for generating extreme but plausible stress scenarios
Local-stochastic volatility: models and non-models
Lorenzo Bergomi exposes a condition important to the use of LSV models in trading
Accounting for initial margin under IFRS 13
Chris Kenyon and Richard Kenyon show why initial margin should be part of the fair value of a derivative
Bounding Bermudans
Thomas Roos derives model-independent bounds for amortising and accreting Bermudan swaptions
Model calibration with neural networks
Andres Hernandez presents a neural network approach to speed up model calibration
Model-free valuation of barrier options
Austing and Li provide a continuous barrier options pricing formula that fits the volatility smile
A sound modelling and backtesting framework for forecasting initial margin requirements
Anfuso, Aziz, Loukopoulos and Giltinan propose a method to develop and backtest forecasting models for IM
Does initial margin eliminate counterparty risk?
Andersen, Pykhtin and Sokol show the existence of residual exposure after initial margin posting
Mixing SABR models for negative rates
Antonov, Konikov and Spector use an exact formula for the normal free boundary SABR to construct an arbitrage-free mixed SABR model
Derivatives funding, netting and accounting
Christoph Burgard and Mats Kjaer expand their semi-replication framework to multiple counterparties
XVA at the exercise boundary
Andrew Green and Chris Kenyon show how the decision to exercise an option is influenced by XVAs
Identification and capitalisation of non-modellable risk factors
Adolfo Montoro, Tim Becker and Lars Popken propose techniques for systematically capturing and categorising non-modellable risk factors and risk-adequate aggregation
Systemic risks in CCP networks
Barker, Dickinson, Lipton and Virmani propose a credit and liquidity risk model for CCPs
Elasticity theory of structuring
Andrei Soklakov presents a product design theory that incorporates Bayesian information processing and risk aversion
‘Hot-start’ initialisation of the Heston model
Serguei Mechkov initialises Heston model’s parameters using probability distributions
Gap risk KVA and repo pricing
Wujiang Lou introduces a reserve capital approach to the hedging error in the BSM model
Organising the allocation
Yadong Li, Marco Naldi, Jeffrey Nisen and Yixi Shi propose a new capital allocation method
Interest rate models enhanced with local volatility
Lingling Cao and Pierre Henry-Labordère implement Dupire's local volatility in interest rate models
Operational risk modelled analytically II: classification invariance
In a simple model, Vivien Brunel establishes the properties of an operational risk model under the requirement of classification invariance
Risk optimisation: the noise is the signal
Benedict Burnett, Simon O’Callaghan and Tom Hulme introduce a new method of optimising the accuracy and time taken to calculate risk for an XVA trading book. They show how to make a dynamic choice of the number of paths and time discretisation focusing…
MVA transfer pricing
Wujiang Lou extends liability-side pricing theory to initial margin
Deconstructing correlation
Peter Austing introduces an analytic or semi-analytic valuation of basket options