Risk Quantum/Citi
US banks vulnerable to losses if HTM securities need to be sold
Overall mark-to-market value $300bn lower than amortised cost across 30 banks
HTM securities hit $2.5trn at US banks in 2022
BofA, First Foundation and Wells Fargo reported largest share of HTM to total securities behind SVB
US regional banks hold smaller proportion of high quality assets
Share of Level 1 assets at Capital One, Truist, US Bancorp lowest across US banks subject to LCR
At US banks, less than 50% of liquid assets classified as AFS
Goldman Sachs reported smallest proportion relative to HQLAs across US banks subject to LCR
Like SVB, five other US lenders saw negative NII growth in 2022
Ally, Customers, First Foundation, Morgan Stanley and PacWest were pressured by rising rates
US banks’ risk-free exposures keep falling
Assets with 0% risk-weighting lowest proportionally since Q1 2020, replaced by riskier exposures
US banks’ VAR breaches up 2.5x in 2022
‘Hypothetical’ one-day losses exceeded VAR on 55 occasions, as losing trading days prevail
Contrarian Goldman grew fair-value bond book in 2022
Held-to-maturity securities balloon, but bank also adds mark-to-market Treasuries as others curtail them
BNY Mellon, Goldman join Citi in escaping Collins floor
Outpaced drop in standardised RWAs pushes banks above threshold – but custodian only bank to reap benefits
Bucking wider trend, Citi’s cash trove ends 2022 up 31%
Liquid balances surged 14% in the last quarter of the year alone
JP Morgan nets $1.9 billion bond book gain in swift turnaround
Q4 reversal in fair-value securities powers record quarterly increase in CET1 capital
Top US lenders book $6.2bn in provisions in Q4
Loan-loss charges at Bank of America, Citi, JP Morgan and Wells Fargo hit highest since pandemic outset