Technical paper/Value-at-risk (VAR)

Time for multi-period capital models

Several financial institutions use single-period models to determine their credit portfolio lossdistribution, calculate their loss volatility and assign economic capital. Here, Kevin Thompson,Alistair McLeod, Panayiotis Teklos and Shobhit Gupta…

A Markovian approach to modelling correlated defaults

Vladyslav Putyatin, David Prieul and Svetlana Maslova unveil a simple dynamic binomial credit model with a Poissonian mixing distribution to satisfy the constraints faced by financial institutions assessing their credit exposure in a consistent manner…

Understanding the expected loss debate

The final draft of the new global Accord on bank regulatory capital – Basel II – has been delayed. A critical and unresolved issue is whether banks should include expected losses in their measure of credit risk. The IMF's Paul Kupiec reports on efforts…

Using the grouped t-copula

Student-t copula models are popular, but can be over-simplistic when used to describe credit portfolios where the risk factors are numerous or dissimilar. Here, Stéphane Daul, Enrico De Giorgi, Filip Lindskog and Alexander McNeil construct a new,…

Correlation stress testing for value-at-risk

The correlation matrix is of vital importance for value-at-risk (VAR) modelsin the financial industry. Risk managers are often interested in stressing a subsetof market factors within large-scale risk systems containing hundreds ofmarket variables…

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