Journal of Credit Risk
ISSN:
1744-6619 (print)
1755-9723 (online)
Editor-in-chief: Linda Allen and Jens Hilscher
About this journal
With the adoption of machine learning and artificial intelligence in financial institutions, credit analysis methodologies and applications are rapidly evolving.
The Journal of Credit Risk is at the forefront in tackling the many issues and challenges posed by these novel technologies both in and out of periods of financial crisis. Topics include fintech, liquidity risk and the connection to credit risk, the valuation and hedging of credit products, and the promotion of greater understanding in the area of credit risk theory and practice.
The Journal of Credit Risk considers submissions in the form of research papers and technical reports on, but not limited to, the following topics.
- Modeling and management of portfolio credit risk.
- Recent advances in parameterizing credit risk models: default probability estimation, copulas and credit risk correlation, recoveries and loss given default, collateral valuation, loss distributions and extreme events.
- The pricing and hedging of credit derivatives.
- Structured credit products and securitizations, eg, collateralized debt obligations, synthetic securitizations, credit baskets, etc.
- Machine learning and artificial intelligence.
- Credit risk implications of blockchain, crypto currencies and fintech firms.
- Measuring, managing and hedging counterparty credit risk.
- Credit risk transfer techniques.
- Liquidity risk and extreme credit events.
- Regulatory issues, such as Basel II and III, internal ratings systems, credit-scoring techniques and credit risk capital adequacy.
Abstracting and Indexing: Scopus; Web of Science - Social Science Index; EconLit; Excellence Research Australia; Econbiz; and Cabell’s Directory
Journal Metrics:
Journal Impact Factor: 0.880
5-Year Impact Factor: 1.045
CiteScore: 1.6
Latest papers
Are lenders using risk-based pricing in the Italian consumer loan market? The effect of the 2008 crisis
This paper analyzes whether in Italy the price of consumer loans is based on borrower-specific credit risk.
Systemic risk in the financial system: capital shortfalls under Brexit, the US elections and the Italian referendum
This paper uses SRISK to quantify the estimated capital shortfalls of financial institutions under three relevant stress events that occurred in 2016: Brexit, the Trump election and the Italian referendum.
A fifty-year retrospective on credit risk models, the Altman Z-score family of models and their applications to financial markets and managerial strategies
This paper reflects upon the evolution of the Altman family of bankruptcy prediction models, as well as their extensions and multiple applications in financial markets and managerial decision making.
Bank risk, bank bailouts and sovereign capacity during a financial crisis: a cross-country analysis
This paper analyzes the competitive effects of government bailout expectations on bank risk using a sample of banks in OECD countries from 2005 to 2015.
Calculating capital charges for sector concentration risk
This paper proposes a methodology to quantify capital charges for concentration risk when economic capital calculations are conducted within a multifactor Merton framework.
An empirical study on credit risk management: the case of nonbanking financial companies
The aim of this paper is to predict future default behaviors of nonbank financial company customers using credit scores.
A new model for bank loan loss given default by leveraging time to recovery
In this paper, the author estimates a two-equation system: one for LGD that incorporates time to recovery as one of the model explanatory variables, and the other for time to recovery using survival models that address data censoring.
Default contagion among credit modalities: evidence from Brazilian data
The aim of this paper is to assess the impact of defaulting on one personal credit modality on future defaults on other modalities. Using Brazilian microdata, the authors run a logistic regression to estimate the probability of default on a given credit…
Modeling dependent risk factors with CreditRisk+
In this paper, an extension of the CreditRisk+ model, called the mixed vector model, is proposed.
Consumer risk appetite, the credit cycle and the housing bubble
In this paper, we explore the role of consumer risk appetite in the initiation of credit cycles and as an early trigger of the US mortgage crisis.
Credit default prediction using a support vector machine and a probabilistic neural network
In this study, the authors address the fact that the ranking of classifiers varies for different criteria with measures under different circumstances, by proposing the simultaneous application of support vector machine and probabilistic neural network …
Moment estimators for autocorrelated time series and their application to default correlations
In this paper, the authors analyze how autocorrelation affects MoM estimators commonly used in the industry to determine the latent asset return correlation, and propose a new estimator that includes correction terms to account for the autocorrelation…
A copula approach to credit valuation adjustment for swaps under wrong-way risk
This paper deals with the credit valuation adjustment (CVA) of interest rate swap (IRS) contracts in the presence of an adverse dependence between the default time and interest rates: so-called wrong-way risk (WWR).
Nonlinear relationships in a logistic model of default for a high-default installment portfolio
This paper uses data on consumer credit along with generalized additive models to analyze nonlinear relationships and their effect on predicting the probability of default in the context of consumer credit scoring.
Optimal investment and financing with macroeconomic risk and loan guarantees
This paper considers an entrepreneur who has no assets in place but possesses an option to invest in a project incurring a lump-sum investment cost, of which a fraction must be financed by entering into an equity-for-guarantee swap.
A latent variable credit risk model comprising nonlinear dependencies in a sector framework with a stochastically dependent loss given default
This paper proposes a latent variable credit risk model for large loan portfolios. It employs the concept of nested Archimedean copulas to account for both a sector-type dependence structure and a copula-dependent stochastic loss given default (LGD).
Issuer bias in corporate ratings toward financially constrained firms
This paper considers whether the rating agency attempts to mitigate the feedback effect through its rating actions. Using Moody’s issuer ratings over 1982–2009, the paper shows that firms with greater external financing constraints are less likely to be…
Addressing probationary period within a competing risks survival model for retail mortgage loss given default
This paper presents a novel approach to modeling retail mortgage LGD estimation.
Reliability and agreement of credit ratings in the Mexican fixed-income market
This paper borrows concepts from measurement, test and psychometric theories to explore the issue of credit ratings in the Mexican corporate bond market.
When banks venture beyond home turf: consequences for loan performance
In this paper, the authors analyze the credit risk of Japanese regional banks when they lend to areas outside their original operational bases.