Quantitative analysis
Inside insider trading
Securities regulators need techniques to detect insider trading if it occurs and determine the extent of possible sanctions. Here, the author proposes a new probabilistic methodology particularly suited to illiquid markets.
New products, new risks
Structured equity products marketed in Europe present considerable risk management challenges. The author shows the danger of using naive model-based approaches to price and hedge them.
Globalisation and equity index exposure
Does the global presence of large multinational companies diminish the diversification effect inequity portfolios? Gary Robinson argues that this is indeed the case, and suggests a remedy
Analytical approach to credit risk modelling
The increasing popularity of VAR-based credit portfolio risk models has led to a growing recognition that Monte Carlo techniques are inadequate for economic capital calculations. Here, Michael Pykhtin and Ashish Dev present a new analytical alternative…
Himalaya options
Nothing epitomises the challenges of complex equity derivatives better than the so-called ‘mountain range’ products. In the second article looking at the challenges of this market, Marcus Overhaus analyses a particular product, the Himalayan option,…
The need for hybrid models
In response to the above article, the authors argue that pure firm-value approaches to default prediction are fundamentally flawed.?
Predictive Merton models
Do default indicators such as agency ratings improve upon the predictive power of KMV’s proprietary default prediction methodology?
Credit model evaluation
With the new Basel Capital Accord scheduled for implementation in 2005, banks are having to evaluate the credit scoring models that will enable them to meet the minimum standards for Basel’s internal ratings-based (IRB) approach. Selecting an appropriate…
Calibrating Libor
With a rich spectrum of maturities and tenors to contend with, the toughest aspect of pricing interest rate options is calibrating models of forward rates to market data. Here, Damiano Brigo and Fabio Mercurio present a scheme for simultaneously…
A discrete question
How should discrete dividend options be modelled in an equity option pricing framework? As Volf Frishling warns, unthinking use of certain models to solve this problem can lead tosignificant mispricing in some situations
Pricing default baskets
Nicholas Dunbar, Risk’s technical editor, introduces the first in a new series of technical papers written by quants at Deutsche Bank.“Default correlation has been one of the hottest topics in credit derivatives over the past year. So it is a pleasure to…
Basel II - Rules and Models
The proposed operational risk charge remains one of the most contentious areas of the new Basel Accord. Carol Alexander reviews the current proposals in the context of various simple models, and argues that practical implementation will require the use…
Linear, yet attractive, Contour
Banks’ Potential Future Exposure models are at the core of the advanced EAD (Exposure At Default) approach to capital requirements for credit risk considered in the New Basel Capital Accord. Juan Cárdenas, Emmanuel Fruchard and Jean-François Picron look…
Emerging markets ramp up
Asset and liability management systems sales continue to be strong in the US and Europe, thanks to Basel II preparations. But it is in the emerging markets that vendors say strong sales growth will come in 2002.
Black-Scholes goes hypergeometric
Option pricing models
Style-based value-at-risk for UK equities
Risk measures
Modelling growth stocks
Stock valuation models
Equity to credit pricing
Default models
Crises and volatility
Stress testing
Behind the mirror
Barrier options
Calculating the contribution
Economic capital
The stochastic volatility Libor market model
Interest rates