Data collision: efficient lending under CECL
John Toohig
Introduction
An overview of CECL: setting the context
Outlining the most impactful assumptions and challenges under CECL: an auditor’s view
Outlining the most impactful assumptions and challenges under CECL: a banker’s view
A banking industry perspective on key CECL decisions
Challenges and solutions for wholesale portfolios
Challenges and solutions for retail mortgage portfolios
Challenges and solutions for retail credit card portfolios
Challenges and solutions for student loans
Challenges and solutions for securities portfolios
The evolution of purchased loan accounting: from FAS 91 to the CECL transition
Challenges and solutions for qualitative allowance
Challenges and solutions: an auditor’s point of view
Early view of CECL integration into stress testing: practical approaches
Too many cooks in the kitchen: mastering the art of managing CECL volatility
Beyond CECL: rethinking bank transformation
Data collision: efficient lending under CECL
Cutting through the hype: how CECL is impacting investor views of procyclicality, credit analysis and M&A
Concentration risk: the CECL magnifying glass
Closing thoughts
Over the course of this chapter we will illustrate some of the early data points necessary to assess CECL, and examine the use case for making an institution a more data-driven lender. We will focus on several common loan product types, such as residential mortgages, consumer auto loans and commercial real estate (CRE). Not only will we dive into newly originated loans and their profitability, but also the ongoing maintenance and monitoring of the portfolio. As the CECL standard has had time to sink in, there is a silver lining starting to emerge. Gathering the information necessary to comply with CECL can make lenders more profitable over the long run by enabling them to price loans correctly at origination, and can also improve the risk profile of institutions by allowing them to monitor the performance for the life of the loan.
The community depository loan balance sheet is often where a loan goes to live its life undisturbed and misunderstood. The loan portfolio for most banks and credit unions throughout the US is a conglomerate of relationship-based credit exceptions, secondary market purchases, mergers, core servicing conversions, and shifts in credit policies that
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