US regionals predict prolonged AOCI burndown

Six banks adjust capital projections amid rising unrealised losses in Q4

Six US regional banks readying for the reinclusion of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI) into capital requirements adjusted their projections for 2025 and 2026, anticipating a slower decline in unrealised losses following worse-than-expected fourth-quarter results.

On aggregate, the banks’ forecast for unrealised losses at the end of this year increased from the $12.8 billion estimated in the third quarter of 2024 to $18 billion, marking a 40.8% rise. For 2026, the anticipated losses

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