Credit risk
Ultimate recoveries
Measuring recovery using the ultimate rate observed at emergence from bankruptcy may be conceptually desirable, but modelling it is difficult. Craig Friedman and Sven Sandow tackle the problem by maximising the creditor’s utility function, constructed…
A false sense of security
Credit portfolio models often assume that recovery rates are independent of defaultprobabilities. Here, Jon Frye presents empirical evidence showing that such assumptions arewrong. Using US historical default data, he shows that not only are recovery…
Unexpected recovery risk
For credit portfolio managers, the priority is to properly incorporate recovery rates into existing models. Here, Michael Pykhtin improves upon earlier approaches, allowing recovery rates to depend on the idiosyncratic part of a borrower’s asset return,…
Retail credit innovations
Credit derivatives
Ready and waiting
Basel Accord
Isda and BMA propose 35% charge for restructuring risk
The International Swaps and Derivatives Association (Isda) and the Bond Market Association (BMA) submitted a comment letter today to the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision in which they argued that, for the sake of capital calculations, loans hedged…
The cutting hedge
Loan hedging
Does CP3 get it right?
Basel II
US credit default swaps and CLN markets recovering, says S&P
The US credit default swaps (CDS) and credit-linked notes (CLN) markets are recovering from a lull in activity, according to rating agency Standard & Poor’s (S&P).
A false sense of security
Recovery rates - Cutting edge
Ultimate recoveries
Recovery rates - Cutting edge
The operational risk pyramid
Risk analysis
Job Moves
People
Unexpected recovery risk
For credit portfolio managers, the priority is to properly incorporate recovery rates into existing models. Here, Michael Pykhtin improves upon earlier approaches, allowing recovery rates to depend on the idiosyncratic part of a borrower’s asset return,…
Embracing change
Hybrid funds that invest across a broad range of different assets are growing, along with the need for fixed income prime broking teams
Evolving credit
The flexibility of credit default swaps makes them an invaluable tool for arbitrage, speculation or hedging products
Japanese CJ50 index reaches ¥10 billion on first trading day
The CJ50 index that tracks the movement of Japan’s 50 most actively traded credit default swaps started trading today, with volume reaching beyond ¥10 billion ($83 million), according to BNP Paribas.
Isda and BMA propose 35% charge for restructuring risk
The International Swaps and Derivatives Association (Isda) and the Bond Market Association (BMA) submitted a comment letter today to the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision in which they argued that, for the sake of capital calculations, loans hedged…
Correlation evidence
Like ratings, default correlation is an area of fierce industry debate. But any fundamental, long-terminvestor searching for fair value in credit correlation will want to understand what the historical dataactually says.
Accord preparations: the rest is yet to come
While the debates have raged for months about many aspects of the proposed Basel II Accord, on some points there has been relative silence, in particular with regard to the seeming overreliance on statistical techniques.
JP Morgan Chase and Morgan Stanley launch Trac-x Japan CDS index
US investment houses JP Morgan Chase and Morgan Stanley are merging their Japanese credit derivatives indexes Janice and MSJ-CDS, respectively, into Trac-x Japan, a new tradable index that tracks the 50 most liquid Japanese credit default swaps (CDS).
S&P to apply stress test to power firms
Standard & Poor’s (S&P) is to apply a stress test designed to measure how well power companies can stand price swings in volatile electricity markets. The move is part of the credit rating agency’s effort to combat criticism of rating agency failure to…
Energy firms turn to credit derivatives market
More energy companies are likely to start purchasing credit derivatives as a way of mitigating counterparty credit risk, analysts said at a conference in New York this week. This is partly because spreads on single-name credit default swaps (CDS) of…
Credit risk models enhance link between credit and equity prices, say BIS
The growing use of credit risk models is helping to strengthen the link between credit and equity prices, said the Bank for International Settlements (BIS).