Risk magazine - Volume 23/Number 6

Looking at Black Swans

In the second of a four-part series on the development of risk management, David Rowe considers the phenomenon of high-impact events, or Black Swans

A bottom-up model with top-down dynamics

Yadong Li proposes a flexible, tractable and arbitrage-free bottom-up dynamic correlation modelling framework with a consistent stochastic recovery specification for multi-name credit derivatives. In this framework, the model’s spread dynamics can be…

Slow ahead for euro rates business

Investors have grown increasingly worried about exposures to eurozone sovereigns given the problems faced by Greece and others. Christophe Mianné, head of global markets at SG CIB, warns the second quarter will prove to be tough for the European rates…

Asia plays catch-up on CCPs

While European and US regulators blaze a trail in over-the-counter derivatives reform, Asian supervisors have been much more circumspect. Some are now exploring the use of central clearing but many are still wrestling with how best to implement it. Matt…

Harbouring doubts on close-out netting

Derivatives safe harbours are viewed as crucial to close-out netting. However, they are under siege from the US Congress, where legislators have tried to undo the protections given to market participants when a counterparty defaults. Mark Pengelly reports

Spotlight on Goldman

The US Securities and Exchange Commission filed a lawsuit against Goldman Sachs in April, alleging it had misled clients by not disclosing that a major hedge fund had helped select the underlying assets in a collateralised debt obligation and was…

When market and credit risk collide

The financial crisis highlighted that interactions between market risk and credit risk could expose banks to greater risks than had been assumed. Banks are responding by altering their structure and the models they use – but it is by no means an easy…

Too networked to fail?

The need to craft special treatment for banks that are too big or interconnected to fail has long been a concern for regulators, but of equal importance is the challenge of identifying which institutions should be subjected to such measures. How can…

IAS 19 to speed pension de-risking

Proposed changes to accounting standards will remove some of the reporting freedom enjoyed by pension funds and could steer them away from investing in equities towards the relative safety of bonds and swaps – a development that could have an impact on…

Risk institutional investor rankings 2010

The resurgence of market volatility and growing regulatory uncertainty have made the past 12 months challenging for investors. In this difficult environment, respondents to Risk’s institutional investor survey voted JP Morgan the top provider of…

A long life for longevity swaps?

The market for longevity swaps is picking up pace, with several transactions completed over the past few months. But is this asset class here to stay or is it a response to market conditions? By Alexander Campbell

Self-referencing CDS risk?

Ballooning credit default swap spreads on European sovereigns have encouraged some market participants to sell credit protection on their own country. But how much is this protection really worth, and could this selling contribute to systemic risk? Mark…

Risk roulette on eurozone scenarios

The European Union and International Monetary Fund agreed a €750 billion emergency loan package in early May, aimed at averting a sovereign default and wider crisis across the eurozone. Nonetheless, banks have been preparing for the worst, stress testing…

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