As interest rates surge, bankers fret over last year’s models
IRRBB modellers trying to predict client behaviour have little relevant data to fall back on
The world today feels unrecognisable from the one we were living in at the start of the year. At the time, interest rates were still at a 10-year low, and there were hopes that developed economies would emerge stronger in the aftermath of the Covid crisis.
Fast-forward 10 months, and economies are in decline, base rates are shooting up, and the managers who measure interest rate risk in banks’ loan and deposit books doubt whether their models can reliably forecast customer behaviour.
The
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@risk.net or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.risk.net/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. Printing this content is for the sole use of the Authorised User (named subscriber), as outlined in our terms and conditions - https://www.infopro-insight.com/terms-conditions/insight-subscriptions/
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. Copying this content is for the sole use of the Authorised User (named subscriber), as outlined in our terms and conditions - https://www.infopro-insight.com/terms-conditions/insight-subscriptions/
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
More on Regulation
Grim repo warning spotlights BNP Paribas booking model
Federal regulators may be targeting French bank’s Paris-based book of US Treasuries
We’re all outliers now: Europe’s unflattering IRRBB test
Banks, fearing overreaction from supervisors, urge European Commission to reject NII-based assessment
SEC targets ‘dark magic’ in fixed-income pricing with Bloomberg fine
US regulator is going after pricing vendors that deviate from their published methodologies
Alameda’s mystery bank stake reignites Fed deposit debate
Crypto challenger Custodia accuses regulator of unlevel playing field over master accounts
More EU banks will fail new IRRBB test as rates push upwards
Half of all EU banks could cross outlier threshold for new test of net interest income
Finra head recognises ‘challenges’ for bond transparency drive
Cook says regulators thinking about industry’s operational and liquidity concerns
Why central banks shouldn’t ignore stablecoins
Rapid growth of stablecoins could impair monetary policy transmission
Hedge funds doubt tall tales around UK short-selling review
FCA has never used powers to ban short-selling, but reporting tweaks would be welcome
