Waiting for the Big One
Like the residents of a city built on a fault line, many high-yield bond managers are currently waiting for the Big One.
By way of background, the high-yield sector’s risk premium was chopped in half during the first 11 months of 2003. On November 30, the spread between the Merrill Lynch High Yield Master Index and 10-year Treasuries stood at 410bp, down from 820bp at the end of 2002.
Portfolio managers enjoyed the resulting 25% total return. As the market roared further