Inflation ist normal
Ausgehend von der Beobachtung, dass lognormale Markt-Caplet-Volatilitäten von weniger als 1% Normalität für Fälligkeiten von bis zu 30 Jahren implizieren, führt Chris Kenyon normalbasierte Smile-Modelle für die Inflation im Jahresvergleich ein. Weitere Ausgangspunkte seiner Arbeit sind die Spanne der notierten Basispreise (von negativ bis positiv) für Caps und Floors sowie die Tatsache, dass Preise und nicht implizite Volatilitäten notiert werden. Diese Smile-Modelle sind einfach und analytisch äußerst traktabel
Die Verfügbarkeit der Daten zum Smile der Year-on-Year-Inflation hat seit der Veröffentlichung von Cap- und Floor-Preisen Ende 2007 auf Bloomberg zugenommen ((RILO)1). Heute laufen die Ticker von Bloomberg zum Beispiel auch für 10-jährige 2,5% HICPx Caps unter EUISCA10 (Index). Die Preise werden auf RILO veröffentlicht, wobei die Basispreise je nach Basiswert2 von -1% bis 6% reichen und die
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@risk.net or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.risk.net/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
More on Markets
Hedge funds crowd into bullish Brazilian real trades
Funds snap up FX options betting on stronger real after a Bolsonaro win
XiNG provides the platform for Citi’s growth
Citi’s best-in-class risk management platform, XiNG, provided the foundation for the firm being named Risk’s 2026 Derivatives house of the year
Euro Stoxx 50 to get major revamp
Removing supersector caps and more regular rebalancing could spur increased activity in eurozone index
Continuous verification holds key to keeping AI on track
Decision-by-decision testing will help users trust AI judgement calls
Jackpot for JGB asset swaps after hedging rush
Multi-leg trade turned profitable as corporate cross-currency hedging flows helped push yen swap rates above JGB yields
Forward volatility: a model-free framework for hedging options risk
A model-free approach to extracting, hedging and managing forward volatility risk
Panellists warm to Treasury plan to lend TGA cash in repo
Goldman’s Chambers backs the idea, while JP Morgan and BNY execs say payoff depends on repo trading above IORB
Hedge funds sit out Treasury market volatility
Flattening of yield curve prompts traders to scale back steepeners
