Podcast: Mercurio on Libor, fraud and writing models on a plane
Post-Libor environment and financial crime detection to drive future research, says top quant
Ahead of the publication of his seventeenth Risk paper, The present of futures, Fabio Mercurio, global head of quant analytics at Bloomberg in New York, told us he is looking forward to working in a post-Libor financial world.
While remembering with a bit of nostalgia the years of modelling complex derivatives, he thinks rates quants such as himself will be having fun developing new models for interest rate derivatives that will be necessary considering the co-existence of Libor, OIS, SOFR and possibly other rates.
Beyond rates, he expects capital optimisation, model risk management and fraud detection to be among the areas where research will intensify in the near future.
Of course, he also introduces his multi-curve framework for pricing futures with convexity adjustments, and the concept of minimal Libor-OIS basis volatility.
Index
00:00 Intro
07:00 ‘The present of futures”
12:50 Libor reform and new benchmark rates
19:02 Post-Libor legacy contracts
23:13 What’s next in quant finance…
29:45 … and what’s buried in the past
To hear the full interview, listen in the player above, or download. Future podcasts in our Quantcast series will be uploaded to Risk.net. You can also visit the main page here to access all tracks or go to the iTunes store to listen and subscribe.
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@risk.net or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.risk.net/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
More on Markets
Jackpot for JGB asset swaps after hedging rush
Multi-leg trade turned profitable as corporate cross-currency hedging flows helped push yen swap rates above JGB yields
Forward volatility: a model-free framework for hedging options risk
A model-free approach to extracting, hedging and managing forward volatility risk
Panellists warm to Treasury plan to lend TGA cash in repo
Goldman’s Chambers backs the idea, while JP Morgan and BNY execs say payoff depends on repo trading above IORB
Hedge funds sit out Treasury market volatility
Flattening of yield curve prompts traders to scale back steepeners
Hedge funds reload UK rates bets after euro-led rout
Traders slowly returning to sterling market after ECB comments caused front-end and curve stop-outs
Why AI agents are like staff you can’t trust
Uncertainty implicit in GenAI systems means risk managers have to take a more adversarial approach
US rates surge sparks new wave of FX net investment hedging
Corporates pile into currency hedges to protect value of foreign assets and capture positive carry
Repricing inflation risk in choppy energy markets
Barclays’ Samy Ben Aoun outlines a method for modelling the sensitivity of inflation swaps to energy shocks