Risk Quantum/Wells Fargo
Credit swap portfolios contracted at systemic US banks in Q2
Sold notionals fell 8% over the three months to end-June
Systemic US banks crushed cleared OTC notionals in Q2
Outstanding amounts fall 12% quarter-on-quarter
US bank systemic risk indicators stay elevated through Q2
Increase in exposures, short-term wholesale funding bump systemic risk scores higher at some firms
Top US banks’ counterparties’ credit quality deteriorated in Q2
At Citi, exposures with a PD of 10% to 100% increased 73% quarter on quarter
OTC swaps exposures of systemic US banks fell back in Q2
Aggregate current credit exposures to hedge funds falls 42% quarter on quarter
Deposit flows shape systemic US banks’ liquidity risk
Non-operational deposits accounted for over 25% of cash outflows in Q2
US banks’ corporate default indicators worsened in Q2
Median probability of default increases 38bp to 1.7% on the quarter
Systemic US banks’ liquidity ratios rebounded in Q2
Aggregate liquid assets increased 15% quarter on quarter
Systemic US banks’ leverage exposures shrank $1.4tn in Q2
On-balance sheet exposures fall on Fed relief
FCM client margin ebbed from record highs over Q2
Goldman Sachs was the only FCM to increase swaps margin significantly
Citi, Goldman, had most winning trading days of top banks in Q2
In aggregate, US G-Sibs racked up 314 profit-making days over the quarter
Top US banks reined in RWAs in Q2
Credit exposures fall after a wild first quarter