Risk Quantum/KeyCorp
US arms of Credit Suisse, SMBC stumble on VAR
Breaches of trading forecasts in Q1 result in higher value-at-risk multipliers for the duo
First Citizens leads regional bank rush for riskless assets
Share of 0% risk-weighted assets increases at small banks for first time in seven quarters
At US banks, share of HTM securities ticks up in Q1
Despite liquidity squeeze, regional banks increased proportion to a six-year high
US regionals remain laggards on EVE measure
Majority of lenders in Q1 did not report key metric that could have detected SVB’s risks
FHLB advances hit record $1trn as banks scramble for funding
Schwab, Truist and First Republic heaviest users of Federal facility in Q1
Synchrony and Discover lead US banks on rising net charge-offs
Executives expect trend to continue as credit normalisation proceeds apace
US banks report negative NII growth amid rising rates
Goldman, KeyCorp and Charles Schwab worst hit in Q1 as funding costs sap income growth
As rates rose, KeyBank unwound 94% of pay-fixed swaps
Sale of AFS hedges left book exposed throughout late 2022, much as at ill-fated SVB
For 11 US regionals, capital adequacy hinges on AOCI waiver
A repeal of the 2019 provision would hit KeyCorp and Charles Schwab the most
First Republic burned through short-term investments in 2022
Cash and securities maturing within a year went from over- to undermatching short-term funding liabilities
Five regional banks predict lower income from higher rates
IRRBB simulations show lending revenue shrinking as Fed policy gets tighter
US banks vulnerable to losses if HTM securities need to be sold
Overall mark-to-market value $300bn lower than amortised cost across 30 banks