Risk Quantum/Federal Reserve
Issues of unsecured debt, CDs pick up steam at US G-Sibs
Senior unsecured debt amounts outstanding climb 31% on Q4 2014; CDs 45.5%
First-half trading revenues at US G-Sibs increase by a third year-on-year
Income from interest rate exposures more than tripled on H1 2018, while equity revenues increased 17%
To be resolved: inside banks’ ‘living wills’
Non-bank units and service providers make up large share of groups’ critical functions
‘Living wills’ show some G-Sibs will be simpler to resolve
Four big banks reported fewer wind-up entities in 2019 resolution plans compared with 2017
PNC drains Fed account for buying spree
Future cut to LCR could lead to further withdrawals
Fed stress test AOCI wallop softens in 2019
Fourteen participants see projected capital drain due to unrealised losses drop 63% year-on-year
DFAST market shock accounts for a quarter of big bank losses
Trading and counterparty losses hit $88.1 billion for banks subject to global market shock
DFAST: JP Morgan accounts for one-fifth of projected losses
Bulk of losses would come from bank’s loan portfolio, projected to incur total losses of $60.3bn
Stress test projected loan losses fall $18bn
Credit card loss rates account for 36.3% of total loan losses under severely adverse scenario
CCAR: JP Morgan, Capital One adjust planned capital actions
Two banks see stressed capital ratios fall below regulatory minimums at first attempt
Deutsche’s stress-testing models are surprisingly accurate
DB USA's projections precisely matched the Fed’s estimates for the second year in a row
US banks improve stress test projections
Gap between internal projections and the Fed's model outputs shrinks to 118 basis points
Banks hurdle Fed stress tests with ease
Aggregate post-stress CET1 capital ratio of 18 participants well above regulatory minimum at 9.2%