Articles by Alex Monro
Expect double-dip, not inflation, says CreditSights' Purtle
Chief strategist at CreditSights Louise Purtle warns that global deleveraging makes double-dip recession more likely than inflation.
Policy errors pose biggest risk to investors, says State Street's Cunningham
Federal Reserve measures to boost economic growth pose the biggest risk to continued growth and to rational markets, says William Cunningham, global head of fixed income research at State Street.
US financials a better bet than corporates, say investors
US corporate restructuring and balance sheet improvements have drawn investor focus to corporate credit. But technical factors make financials look attractive.
Fears grow over Chinese local government debt risk
On shaky ground
US economy faces sluggish end to 2010
The Q2 slowdown in US growth is no short-term blip, according to investors.
Financial regulators tighten grip on banks with series of rule changes
July saw amendments to Basel III, the signing of the Dodd-Frank reform bill, and the results of stress tests on European banks. Credit assesses how investor sentiment towards the banking sector has been affected by this activity.
Repayment fears over China's local government debt
China’s local governments have channelled their debt through off-balance sheet financing vehicles that leave creditors little recourse to repayment in the event of default. Calls to reform this system could result in the formation of a municipal bond…
Eurozone a 'slow-motion train wreck' – senior economist
Larry Brainard, chief economist at political risk consultancy Trusted Sources, argues that until Eurozone policymakers shift the emphasis of remedial action from sovereign debt and onto the banking sector, the region will continue to struggle.
Iraq woos bond investors as sovereign debt tightens
Iraq is beginning to open its doors again to international investors. With the country needing to raise capital to develop the infrastructure required to exploit its energy reserves, Credit looks at the role bond issuance could play in Iraq’s future.
New Basel proposals threaten bank sub debt, investors warn
Bond investors voice concerns over freedom given to national regulators to determine trigger events for conversions or haircuts.
German economy under pressure from bank losses and euro crisis
Bond investors have snapped up German Bunds in recent weeks, with Europe’s sovereign debt crisis triggering a flight to quality. But is Germany really the safe haven it appears? Credit explores potential vulnerabilities in the German economy and assesses…
Are US and Europe's economies at the point of divergence?
Strengthening fundamentals in the US and continued uncertainty over peripheral European economies have given rise to the notion that the US and Europe are undergoing a decoupling process. Credit looks at what this may mean for the US government bond and…
US Treasury yield movements betray deflation danger
Inflation often accompanies the end of the recovery after a crisis, but while US companies may fear high inflation, banks and investors increasingly see deflation as the more serious risk to the US economy.
US credit outlook: Pramerica, BlackRock & Alliance Bernstein
On a recent visit to New York, Credit met up with senior figures at three of the largest fixed income asset managers globally to hear their thoughts on where the US credit market is heading next and what the risks are for investors.
Eurozone banking sector 'a slow-motion train wreck', says economist
Much work needs to be done to salvage Europe's banking sector but the continent's leaders are proving unequal to the task, says Larry Brainard.
Eurozone has two years to agree fiscal union, says DB Advisors
The viability of the Eurozone project continues to weigh on fixed income market, says chief investment officer of DB Advisors.
Arm yourselves against inflation, Jonathan Ruffer warns bond investors
Index-linked bonds are where investors will find value as the effects of the financial crisis unwind, advises founder of Ruffer LLC.
China to revalue renminbi ‘by 4-5%’ this year: Zhang Wei profile
The Chinese Communist Party’s former leading economist, Zhang Wei, explains how revaluing the renminbi is in China’s interests, why the financial markets are such a headache for the country’s leaders and how the new generation may yet prove to be the…
High yield may suffer after government stimulus withdrawal: Jeff Burch profile
The co-head of credit at Investec Asset Management says double-B companies may struggle if economic growth stalls after governments pull the plug on their stimulus measures.
FX volatility creates headaches for bond investors
Investors shift allocations to US dollar products as euro sinks.
Spain’s €15bn austerity plan is flawed, warns leading economist
The Spanish government has made plans for austerity measures based on growth forecasts that far outpace those of the IMF and EU.