In this study, the authors search for a benchmark model with available market-based predictors to evaluate the net contribution of internet search activity data in forecasting volatility. The paper conducts in-sample analysis and out-of-sample…
The combination of two popular volatility models sharpens the hedging of exotic rate derivatives
The price of fund-linked derivatives depends on the fixing lag of the underlying funds
This paper introduces a consistent performance strategy (CPS), which, if followed, leads to a portfolio having consistently positive returns over time and exhibiting a steady upward trend.
Alvin Stroyny and Tim Wilding build a dynamic risk framework for multi-asset global portfolios
In this paper, the authors examine if investors can profit from the underperformance of leveraged exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in long holding periods.
In this paper, the authors present a multiperiod portfolio management strategy that can be used to directly manage the realized volatility over a long time horizon.
The efficiency of the Anderson–Darling test with a limited sample size: an application to backtesting counterparty credit risk internal models
This paper presents a theoretical and empirical evaluation of the Anderson–Darling test when the sample size is limited.
In this paper, the authors introduce a novel, explicit, wide-stencil, two-dimensional (2D) tree–grid method for solving stochastic control problems (SCPs) with two space dimensions and one time dimension, or, equivalently, the corresponding Hamilton…
In this paper, the authors propose a modification of expected shortfall that does not treat all losses equally. We do this in order to represent the worries surrounding big drops that are typical of multiperiod investors.
This paper examines strategy performance from an investment practitioner perspective. Using long-term data from the Standard & Poor’s 500, the authors show that these strategies offer an improvement in risk-adjusted return compared with a buy-and-hold…
El Euch, Rosenbaum, Gatheral combine a rough volatility model with the classical Heston model
This paper proposes an extended conditional autoregressive range (EXCARR) model to describe the range-based volatility dynamics of financial assets.
In this paper, the authors give a preprocessing step for Fourier methods that involves projecting the Green’s function onto the set of linear basis functions.
In this paper, the authors provide theoretical and empirical evidence of the contribution of second-order risk to realized volatility for alternative risk parity strategies.
In this paper, the author describes a simple adaptive Filon method that performs better and more accurately than various popular alternatives for pricing options under the Heston model.
This paper studies the effect of less procyclical margin models on cleared volumes and risk taking in a stylized CCP.
This paper examines the credit exposure evaluation properties of interest rate derivatives to manage counterparty credit risk, working with the real-world probability.
Typical covered call strategies may be decomposed, using a risk and performance attribution methodology, into three components: equity exposure, short volatility exposure and equity timing. This paper applies that attribution methodology to covered calls…
In this paper, the authors adopt a new method of predicting VaR, to estimate balanced portfolios’ VaR.
The predictability implied by consumption-based asset-pricing models: a review of the theory and empirical evidence
This paper examines whether two well-known models, Campbell and Cochrane’s habit model and Bansal and Yaron’s long-run risks model, can produce significant return predictability.
This paper investigates the distributional characteristics of stock market returns and analyzes the significance of higher moments.
In this paper, the authors study the dynamics of Chicago Board Options Exchange volatility index (VIX) futures and exchange-traded notes (ETNs)/exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Fabio Mercurio introduces a new multi-curve model for pricing futures convexity adjustments