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Tail risk

BP crisis pushes Big Oil further into deep water

As thousands of barrels of oil continue to spill into the Gulf of Mexico, energy giant BP has seen its bond spreads widen to unprecedented levels. What will be the implications for Big Oil, and can investors factor in tail risks of this magnitude?

What does VAR mean in 2010?

Value-at-risk figures fell across the industry in 2009, while exceptions dropped significantly from levels in 2007 and 2008. But discussion over what VAR figures actually show and how the numbers are interpreted by senior management continues. By…

A sting in the tail

After recent financial turmoil, market participants are thinking much more rigorously about ways to protect themselves against the possibility of rare but extreme events. However, effectively hedging tail risk is not straightforward. By Mark Pengelly

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