Stress scenarios
Covid-19 overwhelmed stress-testing models – banks
Risk USA: lenders forced to apply management overlays to models skewed by macro inputs
US election scenarios: meltdown fears if poll contested
Crowd-sourced election scenarios show sharp falls and correlation breaks if Trump challenges results
BoJ stress tests pressure top banks’ buffers
Capital ratios of internationally-active dealers projected to fall to 7.6% in worst-case scenario
Fed set to unveil operational resilience proposals
OpRisk North America: banks expected to design idiosyncratic stress scenarios to test resilience
Hypothetical yield curve scenarios for credit stress testing
In this paper, we discuss a set of hypothetical yield curve shift scenarios generated by applying extreme value distributions and a shaping procedure. These statistically derived hypothetical stress scenarios could be susceptible to model risk, leading…
FICC default exposure exceeded size of clearing fund in Q2
Mortgage-backed securities division had $887 million of uncovered exposure to collapse of two members
Covid credit outlooks for UK banks vary
Standard Chartered and HSBC have worst downside outlooks relative to their own base cases
Fed’s second round of stress tests to push banks’ limits
Worst-case scenario sees unemployment peak at 12.5%
Banks aim to close op risk stress test capital gap
Standardising stress drivers could help smooth differences between bank loss estimates
Covid scenarios, pt II: apocalypse how?
Second crowd-sourced scenario exercise reveals polarised views in equities and FX
JP Morgan shook up market risk stress tests in Q2
Bank switched stressed VAR historical periods 60 times
Fix to Fed stress test snafu lowers two banks’ capital charges
Goldman, Morgan Stanley see stress capital buffer cuts
Vol decay and correlation flips: CFM’s take on the Covid crisis
Market bounce-back blindsided quant investment firm – and others
Podcast: CFM’s Bouchaud on agent-based models and ESG investing
Hedge fund quant, and Risk.net’s new columnist, shares his unique take on markets
Covid-19 tumult prompts rethink of buy-side risk management
Buy-side risk survey: investment firms making changes to their risk reports, stress tests and concentration limits
Inside the Fed’s secret liquidity stress tests
Lobbyists and Quarles train sights on horizontal exams that can shape bank risk appetite
How UBS AM dealt with Covid-19 crunch
Buy-side risk survey: Swiss giant had planned for liquidity squeeze, says CRO – but not one like March
Internal stress tests of EU banks not up to scratch – ECB
Only one in 10 banks’ internal tests are tougher than supervisor-run programmes
AllianceBernstein’s CRO on managing risk with imagination
Buy-side risk survey: Andrew Chin suggests ripping up old assumptions and creating crisis ‘playbooks’
Fed’s approach to stressing op risk frustrates banks
Regulator’s stress test results overshoot banks’ numbers, threatening capital plans
Coronavirus shock to hit diversified lenders hardest – ECB
Diversified and wholesale lenders projected to see CET1 ratio decline 7 percentage points under worst-case scenario
Stuart Lewis, Deutsche’s survivor, confronts Covid-19
CRO talks loan reserves, VAR breaches, and the lessons of a lurid past
LME distressed at severity of Esma stress tests
Watchdog’s simulated price shocks said to be unprecedented in metals markets
At top US banks, stress test capital hit driven by dividends
Shareholder giveaways make up bulk of post-stress capital losses at JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America