Market risk modelling
EU banks aim to block new counterparty risk guidance
Requirement to include exposure spikes linked to swap payments within EEPE models prompts blowback
US unit of BBVA on the brink of a VAR breach in Q1
Largest loss-to-VAR ratio at the firm was highest among the 12 intermediate holding companies
JPM records highest number of profit-making days in six years
In aggregate, US G-Sibs racked up 355 profit-making days over Q1
Morgan Stanley, Bank of America push VAR limits the most
Largest losses-to-VAR ratios at the two firms were the highest among the eight systemic US banks in Q1
ECB’s Trim found 900 flaws with 31 banks’ market risk models
Remedying shortcomings added €11 billion to market RWAs in aggregate
Morgan Stanley’s VAR hit eight-year high in Q1
High risk-of-loss indicator coincides with Archegos collapse
A look at future exposures, through a 19th century lens
Can a centenarian maths idea speed up the calculation of forward sensitivities?
Most EU banks use historical simulation approach to VAR
Few lenders favour Monte Carlo or parametric methodologies
Fourteen EU banks face sanctions for poor market risk models
Twenty lenders lowballed capital requirements
Model change pumps up Deutsche’s VAR capital charge
Switch to historical simulation approach increases requirement by 71%
Top US banks’ market risk charges surged in 2020
Citi ended year with highest charge of the G-Sibs, at almost $9 billion
HSBC pares down market RWAs after model update, VAR change
Risk-weighted assets for trading exposures fall $2.8 billion quarter on quarter
Profit-making trading days at systemic US banks soared in 2020
Citi had the most winning days of the G-Sibs in 2020, with 170
Credit Suisse updates VAR disclosure to cover banking book
Non-trading positions accounted for 31% of market risk exposure in Q3
UBS factors in Covid shock to stressed VAR, causing RWA surge
Market RWAs increased 11% quarter on quarter
Goldman’s 2020 VAR was its highest in nine years
Trading revenues at the New York-based dealer were the highest in a decade
IM, default fund resources fell at Eurex in Q3
Total collateral held remains elevated compared to pre-coronavirus crisis
Barclays leads Europe’s banks on trading risks
Top 20 banks with most trading risks accounted for 79% of market RWAs across EBA sample
Basel FRTB capital impact study confused by outliers
“Conservative estimation” of market risk capital uplift averages 69%
Scotiabank’s capital ratio improves on fading market risks
VAR-based RWAs dropped 44% quarter on quarter
Systemic US banks’ market risk charges fall from Covid highs
Citi an outlier as its capital requirements increase in Q3
UBS market RWAs dropped 25% in Q3 as VAR cooled
High value-at-risk outputs dropped out of averaging window in Q3
Top US dealers’ trading risk indicators varied in Q3
VAR drops sharply at JP Morgan and Goldman, stays steady at Morgan Stanley and rises at BofA
Factoring in Covid turmoil amped Bank of America's VAR in Q3
Value-at-risk averaged $109 million over three months to end-September