DFAST
US banks hoping for end of DFAST global market shock
As Fed consults on stress-test reform, lobby group argues regulator is double-counting market risk
Basel III alone won’t be capital neutral, says Fed official
Endgame may raise requirements, but will be offset by changes to G-Sib and stress capital buffers
Changes to Fed’s G-Sib surcharge imminent, says Bowman
Stress test consultation will come first, eSLR will follow, Basel III endgame will take longer
Interest rate risk rules need more work, says Fed’s Barr
Former vice-chair for supervision also tells Risk.net his redraft of Basel III would have softened NMRFs
Morgan Stanley SCB cut unlocks $4.2bn after rare Fed appeal win
Bank’s buffer falls 170bp, widening average cut across US banks subject to the regime to 66bp
DFAST monoculture is its own test
Drop in frequency and scope of stress test disclosures makes it hard to monitor bank mimicry of Fed models
DFAST fashion: emerging trends from 12 years of US stress tests
The banks that breach buffers, the assets that perform best under stress, and other insights from Dodd-Frank Act stress-testing exercises
US banks see record relief in stress capital buffers
Average buffer falls 62bp amid strong stress test showing
Foreign banks see steeper CET1 declines in US and EU stress tests
Strong starting capital buffers at overseas subsidiaries eroded by outsized hits
US Fed urged to curb reliance on its own stress-test models
Original architect of DFAST says supervisors should stop putting all their eggs in one basket
Barr slams weakening of bank supervisory tests
Fed governor warns deregulation during boom times ushers in crises
Citi leads US banks in lowballing capital hit in stress test
Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo internal projections also show more capital resilience than Fed’s calculations
Foreign dealers still lag US banks in stress tests
IHCs’ CET1 depletion triples that of domestic participants, despite improved performance since 2024 exercise
Fed’s SCB proposal would blunt 2025 DFAST relief
Two-year average would raise CET1 component due to weaker 2024 stress test results
Softer DFAST market shock favours Goldman but confounds comparability
Tweak to trading book test reveals widening gap between bank and Fed loss forecasts
JPM, Wells Fargo would net record AOCI windfalls in severe recession
Latest DFAST projects $58bn AOCI rebound on aggregate, with two banks driving over 60% of the recovery
JP Morgan’s loan losses loom ever-larger in Fed stress test
$90 billion in projected markdowns accounts for almost a fifth of total across 22 banks
Seven banks fall short of full capital buffers in DFAST 2025
DB USA posts largest gap, with four G-Sibs also dipping below their full requirements
CCAR at a turning point, but which way is forward?
Banks sniff an opportunity to push the Fed for more openness over stress test models – and seize capital benefits
Fed agrees to unveil stress-test models in transparency U-turn
US regulator commits to September 30 deadline for new measures
Fed’s proposed SCB tweak would free $20bn of capital at US banks
Averaging of stress test-based inputs over two years would reduce current add-ons by up to 60bp