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A trick too far

Troubled monolines have underwritten a plethora of subprime mortgage-linked collateralised debt obligations for dealers. But with further deterioration in the subprime mortgage market, are these guarantees worth the paper they're written on? Mark Pengelly investigates

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Monoline insurers have pulled off some dazzling tricks over recent years. Having moved out from their traditional business of wrapping municipal bonds, long-established monolines entered into the higher-margin arena of structured finance. With onlookers aghast, a neat tap of the wand caused dealer exposures to collateralised debt obligations of asset-backed securities (CDOs of ABSs) to disappear

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The wild world of credit models

The Covid-19 pandemic has induced a kind of schizophrenia in loan-loss models. When the pandemic hit, banks overprovisioned for credit losses on the assumption that the economy would head south. But when government stimulus packages put wads of cash in…

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