Interest rate scenarios: skinny-dipping with the Fed

As US rates march upwards, readers offer deeply diverging forecasts on the impact for markets through to 2024

This article is part of’s series of crowdsourced scenario-generation exercises. Click here to download a PDF of the full results.

You only find out who has been swimming naked when the tide goes out, as the old saying has it. For the past decade, central banks held rates down, encouraging some participants to throw caution to the winds. With the flood of cheap money now finally receding, investors are finding out which asset classes are most exposed to rising US interest rates.


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