Cat risk: why forecasting climate change is a disaster

Risk 1119 In depth Mark Long nbillustration.co.uk — Mark Long, nbillustration.co.uk

James Ryder
11 Nov 2019

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The year is 1987. The worst storm in centuries is about to sideswipe the UK with hurricane-strength winds. Notoriously – folklorically – BBC meteorologist Michael Fish addresses a viewer’s concerns: “Earlier on today, apparently, a woman rang the BBC and said she heard there was a hurricane on the way. Well, if you’re watching: don’t worry, there isn’t.”

The storm cost the insurance industry an estimated £2 billion ($2.5 billion). Although Fish claimed his comment was taken out of context,

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