Revenge of the economists

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As many readers of this column know, I spent 13 years as a macro-econometric model builder and forecaster. In late 1986, I made a mid-career transition into financial risk management, eventually working at two large banks. For several years, I was a permanent attendee at the market risk committee of one of those banks. The two-hour agenda typically started with a scheduled 10-minute briefing by the bank’s economics department. Often, however, the committee chairman would begin with a statement

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