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Gap between implied and real ratings still evident

Credit default swap spreads for many banks continue to imply default risk greater than that shown by credit ratings, according to a senior analyst at Moody’s Analytics.

“My personal view is the market is still trading many banks cheaply,” says the divisional managing director of Moody’s Analytics capital market research group, David Munves.

He cited Citigroup as an example of a firm whose current

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The wild world of credit models

The Covid-19 pandemic has induced a kind of schizophrenia in loan-loss models. When the pandemic hit, banks overprovisioned for credit losses on the assumption that the economy would head south. But when government stimulus packages put wads of cash in…

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