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The ECB’s geopolitical stress test needs a price

Only a market can say how much it should cost to insure against losses from a geopolitical risk event, and none exists, argues academic

An atlas of the world, with coin towers of various heights resting on certain key areas

In July, the European Central Bank announced the results of a thematic reverse stress test on geopolitical risk covering its 110 directly supervised banks. The design was elegant: rather than handing banks a scenario, the supervisor prescribed the outcome – namely, a depletion of Common Equity Tier 1 capital of 300 basis points – and asked each institution to work backwards to the geopolitical

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なぜ価格が急騰する?

「長年にわたる調査を経ても、依然としてはっきりとは分かっていない」とジャン=フィリップ・ブショー氏は述べています

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