Predictive risk for resilient portfolios: climate adaptation, valuation and strategy

As the climate crisis accelerates, institutional investors are under pressure to future-proof their portfolios against rising and compounding risks, ranging from extreme heat to flooding. Traditional risk models rooted in historical data are no longer sufficient in today’s rapidly evolving climate landscape.

This Risk.net webinar, convened in association with First Street, explores how predictive climate modelling is transforming investment decisions. It addresses how forward-looking insights are enabling asset managers, owners and strategists to assess risk, protect value and unlock new opportunities. The expert panel discusses how anticipating and adapting to climate change is becoming a competitive advantage, rather than just a regulatory requirement. Also under discussion are the redefined responsibilities of financial advisers, building portfolios that can withstand change, as well as new ways to invest amid climate-related risks.

Key discussion topics:

• How the investment community is reinterpreting fiduciary responsibility in the face of escalating climate risk, and the real-world applications where adaptation helps maintain and increase value over time
• How forward-looking climate models can address the limitations of traditional tools, enabling investors to proactively manage emerging risks. The role predictive insight plays in revaluing long-duration assets
• The practical challenges of implementing climate-aligned strategies – from embedding physical risk into stress-testing to reallocating capital towards resilient infrastructure
• How portfolios can be structured to withstand systemic shocks while capturing upside in climate-aligned investments such as adaptation, preserving natural resources and leveraging financial best practices to build resilience.

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