Innovation, risk and recession
About four months ago, I attended a conference featuring the UK's chancellor Alistair Darling. It was a time when the credit crunch was seen as a crisis confined to the financial system. Regulatory mandarins from the UK, US and the continent were debating what the best future form of banking regulation might be, and Darling was speaking approvingly of all the post-Northern Rock measures that his government was implementing.
Outside the conference, the economy seemed to be humming along, still buoyed by the momentum of over-valued housing and credit markets. Stock markets were rebounding, and consumer confidence remained strong. Inside the conference, there were people who knew full well what damage had been wreaked to bank balance sheets, and the contraction in economic activity that the damage repair process implied. At this point, I stood up and asked Darling when he was going to convey this reality to the wider voting public.
Darling's response was cautious, but more recently he has bitten the bullet and attempted to communicate how bad things might get in the UK. In the US and continental Europe, a similar picture of widespread risk aversion can be found. The question is increasingly being asked, what is the banking and mortgage system supposed to do, and where should governments prop it up?
Amid this gloom spreading out from the banking world, it is worth remembering that the insurance and pensions industry, apart from some special cases, is as healthy and resilient as it has ever been. Risk management discipline is thriving and is not only protecting balance sheets in advance of external shocks, but is also driving product innovation in areas such as pension buyouts and variable annuities.
In banking however, financial innovation is now a dirty word. There are too many writedowns and investor lawsuits for any other conclusion to be drawn. Top hedge fund managers, bankers and senior regulators all tell me that it will take years for the reputations of investment banks to recover.
While it is tempting for observers from the insurance and pension world to feel a twinge of schadenfreude at a sector that used to condescend to them, the fact remains that the world needs a healthy banking system. Provision of credit and liquidity to individuals and corporations underpins economic growth, and the consequences of this not happening are now obvious.
Of course, bankers are keen to show that they are genuinely useful in these difficult times, and the votes they receive in our rankings, along with consultants, shows that our readership continues to appreciate their services. Emboldened by successful transactions, some bankers are keen to claim the credit for financial innovation in the traditional way that one expects from them.
That is fine, but they should in turn remember two things. Firstly, insurance and pension practitioners are increasingly aware of the choices available to them in tackling their risk and capital management challenges. Secondly, investment bankers should try to step back and acknowledge the broader social debate about their usefulness that is now taking place in the wake of the credit crunch.
コンテンツを印刷またはコピーできるのは、有料の購読契約を結んでいるユーザー、または法人購読契約の一員であるユーザーのみです。
これらのオプションやその他の購読特典を利用するには、info@risk.net にお問い合わせいただくか、こちらの購読オプションをご覧ください: http://subscriptions.risk.net/subscribe
現在、このコンテンツを印刷することはできません。詳しくはinfo@risk.netまでお問い合わせください。
現在、このコンテンツをコピーすることはできません。詳しくはinfo@risk.netまでお問い合わせください。
Copyright インフォプロ・デジタル・リミテッド.無断複写・転載を禁じます。
当社の利用規約、https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/(ポイント2.4)に記載されているように、印刷は1部のみです。
追加の権利を購入したい場合は、info@risk.netまで電子メールでご連絡ください。
Copyright インフォプロ・デジタル・リミテッド.無断複写・転載を禁じます。
このコンテンツは、当社の記事ツールを使用して共有することができます。当社の利用規約、https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/(第2.4項)に概説されているように、認定ユーザーは、個人的な使用のために資料のコピーを1部のみ作成することができます。また、2.5項の制限にも従わなければなりません。
追加権利の購入をご希望の場合は、info@risk.netまで電子メールでご連絡ください。
詳細はこちら ストラクチャード商品
A guide to home equity investments: the untapped real estate asset class
This report covers the investment opportunity in untapped home equity and the growth of HEIs, and outlines why the current macroeconomic environment presents a unique inflection point for credit-oriented investors to invest in HEIs
Podcast: Claudio Albanese on how bad models survive
Darwin’s theory of natural selection could help quants detect flawed models and strategies
Range accruals under spotlight as Taiwan prepares for FRTB
Taiwanese banks review viability of products offering options on long-dated rates
Structured products gain favour among Chinese enterprises
The Chinese government’s flagship national strategy for the advancement of regional connectivity – the Belt and Road Initiative – continues to encourage the outward expansion of Chinese state-owned enterprises (SOEs). Here, Guotai Junan International…
Structured notes – Transforming risk into opportunities
Global markets have experienced a period of extreme volatility in response to acute concerns over the economic impact of the Covid‑19 pandemic. Numerix explores what this means for traders, issuers, risk managers and investors as the structured products…
Structured products – Transforming risk into opportunities
The structured product market is one of the most dynamic and complex of all, offering a multitude of benefits to investors. But increased regulation, intense competition and heightened volatility have become the new normal in financial markets, creating…
Increased adoption and innovation are driving the structured products market
To help better understand the challenges and opportunities a range of firms face when operating in this business, the current trends and future of structured products, and how the digital evolution is impacting the market, Numerix’s Ilja Faerman, senior…
Structured products – The ART of risk transfer
Exploring the risk thrown up by autocallables has created a new family of structured products, offering diversification to investors while allowing their manufacturers room to extend their portfolios, writes Manvir Nijhar, co-head of equities and equity…