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Correlation and credit risk

Active development of full credit portfolio modelling continues apace, even though it is not recognised in the proposed Basel II framework. An important issue is the relationship between probability of default and loss-given default. In this last of four columns on integrated credit risk mitigation, David Rowe argues for caution in interpreting apparent correlation between the two

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Despite not being recognised within the proposed Basel II framework, full portfolio-based credit modelling is an important part of best-practice credit risk management. Its central objective is to go beyond analysis of individual exposure characteristics and measure the risk-mitigating implications of portfolio diversification. The ultimate goal is to allow this deeper level of insight to

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