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Barra joins crowded market for Merton models

Investors say Merton-type models for estimating credit default probabilities are now so common they are driving pricing in the credit market. And there are more models on the way.

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The market for predicting bond defaults is getting increasingly crowded. It’s easy to see why. Some big investors in the US say anyone wishing to play the bond markets needs to take into account the outputs of these models if they want to stay on top of the game. And that creates more sales for model suppliers such as Moody’s KMV and RiskMetrics. The latest to enter the field is Berkeley

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