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Credit investors struggle to decide what tariffs will mean for defaults

Traders report difficulty evaluating risk, but elevated yields have kept demand strong nonetheless

A businessman with a bag of money on his back looking at a dollar crossroads sign

Two months after the ‘Liberation Day’ tariff announcements, investors continue to struggle with the risks posed by uncertain US policy and its likely economic effects.

Buy-siders report little progress since April in determining how far trade barriers could affect the ability of issuers to repay their debt – either because of direct effects on businesses, or due to a slowing economy – and how

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