Energy Risk - 2008-11-05

Where next for oil prices?

Despite recent steep losses, oil remains in a long-term uptrend, although this is under serious pressure. A technical analysis suggests risk remains greatest to the downside, writes David Linton of Updata

Shale shake-up

With high natural gas prices, volatility and fewer financingoptions, shale gas developers are de-risking through jointventures and more aggressive hedging programmes. CatherineLacoursière reports

How low can it go?

Oil prices have lost almost half their value since thesummer as the turmoil in the global financial marketsrages on, causing many analysts to revise down theirforecasts. Pauline McCallion finds out what they areexpecting for next year and beyond

What’s our policy?

Today’s volatile and unpredictablemarket conditions make itincreasingly important to designan overarching risk managementpolicy upon which a riskmanagement programme can bedefined and built. David Perez ofEnite offers some guidelines

Political power

Eight years after market liberalisation, Italyis launching physical electricity forwardsand financial futures, but barriers to afreely-traded transparent power marketremain. Roderick Bruce reports

Overview and static valuation

John Breslin, Les Clewlow, Tobias Elbert, Calvin Kwok and Chris Strickland illustrate how the four most common valuation methodologies can be used to optimise gas storage and trading

Bagging a bargain

The global oil sector is likely to emerge from the credit crisis with a more concentrated pool of players, but power will increasingly revolve around China and India as they tap the markets for cheap assets, finds Catherine Lacoursière

Dry bulk freight rates on a sinking ship

A combination of the credit squeeze and dwindling demand for raw materials has seen dry bulk freight rates slump to levels not seen since 2002. Peter Norfolk at SSY charts the fall

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