As a credit strategist, what keeps you up at night?
Two things bother me. First, exogenous shock, such as an oil price hike or military action. Certainly, we are not expected to predict this type of eventuality, but the markets tend to behave extremely irrationally in the immediate aftermath. The very time when the clients most need guidance, is the very time when it is most difficult to provide. Second, periods of low activity and price stability. It becomes very difficult to measure