Synthetics likely to dominate CDO issuance in 2003
Among synthetic deals, the static arbitrage CDO sector grew fastest, with around two thirds of the $105.7 billion of visible issuance accounted for by investment-grade collateral deals. The independently managed CDO sector was also dominated by investment-grade collateral deals, which accounted for 92% of issuance in 2002.
Beyond synthetic deals’ superior economics compared with cash CDOs, scarcity of collateral may accentuate the move towards synthetic issuance in 2003. US investment-grade corporate bond issuance decreased by 12% last year. Bank of America estimated that investment-grade credit default swap volumes grew by up to 50% during the same period.
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