Risk Quantum/Lloyds Banking Group
Lloyds lightens 2020 ECL forecast, but projects a gloomier 2021
UK banks expects full-year loan-loss amounts to come hit lower end of £4.5 billion–5.5 billion range
Which EU banks hold the most loans subject to Covid relief?
UK lender Lloyds had 13% of its loan book under payment moratoria as of June 30
Covid credit outlooks for UK banks vary
Standard Chartered and HSBC have worst downside outlooks relative to their own base cases
Barclays led UK banks in growing CDS book through Covid shock
Dealer saw credit derivatives notionals balloon £58.1 billion over the first half
Virus volatility swelled CVA charges at Barclays, NatWest in H1
PRA capital relief for market risk eased the CVA burden at some lenders
Dark Covid outlook pumps up Lloyds’ loan-loss reserves
Base case for 2020 now projects UK GDP to drop 10%
Prudential filters crimp some banks’ own funds, boost others
Two banks saw CET1 climb more than 5% at end-2019 through the EU’s valuation adjustments
Counterparty risk capital charges up 20% at top UK banks
StanChart CCR capital requirement jumps 41% over the first quarter
UK banks eye Pillar 2 savings after PRA intervention
Top lenders could free £4.4 billion of capital
New securitisation rules weigh on UK banks
HSBC sees capital charge increase 41% quarter-on-quarter
UK banks put £7.6bn aside for credit losses in Q1
Impairment charges were roughly double aggregate net profits at top lenders
Bleak macro view pushes Lloyds’ ECL over £5bn
Anticipated loan losses for commercial loans up 39% on end-2019