Risk Quantum/JP Morgan
Swaps books of top US dealers bulged in Q1
Citi increased derivatives exposures by $25.5 billion quarter-on-quarter
Though Covid crisis rages, US banks’ op RWAs fall
Wells Fargo sees op RWAs fall $2.9 billion
JP Morgan had sharpest trading edge of top dealers in Q1
G-Sibs racked up 295 profit-making days in first quarter
Systemic US banks incurred 42 VAR breaches in Q1
Leading dealers saw actual losses over four times greater than their VAR estimates on some days
Credit models at odds with standardised approach on Covid
Increase to advanced approaches RWAs far outpaces growth to standardised
US banks’ leverage soared in Q1 before Fed’s reprieve
JP Morgan alone saw leverage exposure climb $112 billion
Covid loan losses exceed 2019 CCAR projections
CECL accounting likely responsible for discrepancy
Amid Covid crisis, top US banks give $32bn away to shareholders
Buybacks exceeded Q1 2019 total, despite voluntary suspension on March 15
Systemic US banks put aside $25bn for credit losses in Q1
JP Morgan took a $8.3 billion provision, the most of the eight G-Sibs
Top US banks issue $35bn of SOFR-linked debt in 2020 to date
Citi leads on notes placed year-to-date
JP Morgan takes $951m XVA hit
Funding spread widening blamed for majority of Q1 hit
US banks stand apart as top lenders cancel dividends
Capital savings would equal 3% of end-2019 aggregate total if payouts suspended