Italy is real eurozone endgame, says top credit quant

Eurozone can finance a Spanish bail-out, but an Italian default is the real test of common currency’s survival, says NYU's Edward Altman

Edward Altman sees Italy as the litmus test for Euro survival

Italy is the key to the survival of the euro rather than Spain, as has generally been assumed, according to a top credit quant.

Speaking on a panel discussion at New York University's Stern business school's annual alumni conference in London, Edward Altman, Max Heine professor of finance at the school, said that according to his models, eurozone members could probably finance a Spanish bail-out, but the picture for Italy was more uncertain and would prove pivotal to the single currency's

Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.

To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact or view our subscription options here:

You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact to find out more.

Sorry, our subscription options are not loading right now

Please try again later. Get in touch with our customer services team if this issue persists.

New to View our subscription options


Want to know what’s included in our free membership? Click here

This address will be used to create your account

Credit risk & modelling – Special report 2021

This Risk special report provides an insight on the challenges facing banks in measuring and mitigating credit risk in the current environment, and the strategies they are deploying to adapt to a more stringent regulatory approach.

The wild world of credit models

The Covid-19 pandemic has induced a kind of schizophrenia in loan-loss models. When the pandemic hit, banks overprovisioned for credit losses on the assumption that the economy would head south. But when government stimulus packages put wads of cash in…

You need to sign in to use this feature. If you don’t have a account, please register for a trial.

Sign in
You are currently on corporate access.

To use this feature you will need an individual account. If you have one already please sign in.

Sign in.

Alternatively you can request an individual account here