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An analytical framework for credit portfolio risk measures

Monte Carlo simulation of credit-risky portfolios can be computationally intensive when calculating risk measures. Here, Mikhail Voropaev builds an analytical framework for calculating value-at-risk and expected shortfall for these portfolios that significantly reduces the required computation

There is increasing demand for fast and consistent economic capital calculation and allocation techniques. Using industry standard Monte Carlo simulations for portfolio-level risk quantification requires a considerable amount of time and computer power. For risk concentration identification, risk-adjusted pricing and portfolio optimisation, portfolio-wide economic capital needs to be allocated

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The wild world of credit models

The Covid-19 pandemic has induced a kind of schizophrenia in loan-loss models. When the pandemic hit, banks overprovisioned for credit losses on the assumption that the economy would head south. But when government stimulus packages put wads of cash in…

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