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Going the wrong way

Dealers have suffered billions of dollars of losses from wrong-way counterparty credit exposures with monoline insurers. Could they have been avoided? Mark Pengelly investigates

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Counterparty credit risk has become an increasingly significant issue since losses on US subprime mortgages became a cause for concern in July 2007. In the past six months, worries about dealing with vulnerable counterparties have even infected the interbank market, turning once-placid Libor rates into a gauge of market fear (Risk January 2008, pages 74-76).

From being a somewhat mysterious back

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The wild world of credit models

The Covid-19 pandemic has induced a kind of schizophrenia in loan-loss models. When the pandemic hit, banks overprovisioned for credit losses on the assumption that the economy would head south. But when government stimulus packages put wads of cash in…

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