Oil price outlook 2010
Oil prices – which have been rangebound between $65–75 per barrel for most of the second half of the year, averaging just under $61/bbl for 2009 – are forecast to average more than $15 higher next year on expectations of a steady recovery in the global economy, a weak US dollar and strong demand from Asia. Rachel Morison reports
In a survey of eleven analysts conducted by Energy Risk in November, the average 2010 oil price forecast is $78.35 a barrel for WTI and $75.90 for Brent, 25% higher than the average 2009 price.
At the time of going to press, the light, sweet crude contract traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange (commonly known as WTI) was trading at around $78/bbl. Prices were higher further out along the
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@risk.net or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.risk.net/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
More on Risk management
FCMs warn of regulatory gaps in crypto clearing
CFTC request for comment uncovers concerns over customer protection and unchecked advertising
UK clearing houses face tougher capital regime than EU peers
Ice resists BoE plan to move second skin in the game higher up capital stack, but members approve
The changing shape of variation margin collateral
Financial firms are open to using a wider variety of collateral when posting VM on uncleared derivatives, but concerns are slowing efforts to use more non-cash alternatives
Repo clearing: expanding access, boosting resilience
Michel Semaan, head of RepoClear at LSEG, discusses evolving requirements in repo clearing
The state of IMA: great expectations meet reality
Latest trading book rules overhaul internal models approach, but most banks are opting out. Two risk experts explore why
How geopolitical risk turned into a systemic stress test
Conflict over resources is reshaping markets in a way that goes beyond occasional risk premia
Many banks see obstacles to options-based IRRBB hedging
Liquidity, accounting treatment and culture seen as impediments to wider use of swaptions, caps and floors
ALM has no formal role in capital planning at a third of banks
Risk Benchmarking study finds banks split three ways on policy mandates, with G-Sibs as likely as small regionals to assign ALM formal responsibility
