Ukraine invasion clouds rates consensus trades
“Old school” US macro trades are back in fashion, but geopolitical risks add uncertainty
Until Thursday (February 24), macro funds had coalesced around a series of trades described by one veteran rates trader as “old school macro” – directional positions in Treasuries and swaptions based on the expectation of a steady stream of rate rises in the US.
While rate rises in the US are currently still expected to go ahead largely as planned given the inflationary pressures in the market, traders say Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has added an extra dose of uncertainty to the popular trades
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@risk.net or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.risk.net/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. Printing this content is for the sole use of the Authorised User (named subscriber), as outlined in our terms and conditions - https://www.infopro-insight.com/terms-conditions/insight-subscriptions/
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. Copying this content is for the sole use of the Authorised User (named subscriber), as outlined in our terms and conditions - https://www.infopro-insight.com/terms-conditions/insight-subscriptions/
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
More on Derivatives
StanChart sees big uptick in FX options positions
Counterparty Radar: UK bank benefits from MSIM trades as market for US mutual funds expands in Q2
Flow Traders bullish about threat from big banks
Talking Heads 2023: Non-bank market-maker remains confident of its edge in small-ticket corporate credit
Crypto ECNs aim to offer alternative to Clobs
CrossX and Cypator bring ECN-style trading and settlement to crypto, but rivals claim infrastructure isn’t ready
Market eyes emerging market CDS index expansion
Participants hope changes will help transform single-name volumes into greater index activity
Market ‘not ready’ for US Treasuries clearing mandate
“Client clearing for Treasuries doesn’t really exist,” says Barclays exec, while DTCC points to gaps in market awareness
Traders pin Sonia derivative woes on UK’s local difficulties
Market participants say BoE forecasts and mini-budget help explain RFR products’ lack of liquidity
BNPP back in dealer top three for FX forwards with mutuals
Deutsche Bank, HSBC hit by cuts at Vanguard and Pimco in Q2
MassMutual exited inflation hedges in Q2
Counterparty Radar: Closure of $1.5 billion book dealt a blow to BNP Paribas’s dealer ranking
