BAML: Iraq poses risk to oil outlook

BAML says while Iraq has the potential to vastly expand productive capacity, the Iraqi government's stated intention to increase oil capacity from 2.5 to 10-12 million barrels per day (b/d) over the next decade is "very optimistic and we remain sceptical that such increases can be achieved".

However, BAML says, ‘still, a four-fold increase in Iraqi production could be sufficient to keep oil prices from rising above $100 per barrel (/bbl) for much of this decade.'

The US Energy Information