Who wants to be a forecaster?
Forecasting gas storage levels is an ugly, thankless – but essential – task
Thursday morning is a moment of truth for the entire US cottage industry of energy storage forecasters whose weekly predictions are tabulated, distributed, ranked, sometimes praised or ridiculed by the industry newsletters and news-reporting organisations. A quarterly ‘accuracy’ ranking (the equivalent of the dreaded high-school report card) may make or break the career of an aspiring fundamental analyst or natural gas trader. Because of the ferocity with which the weekly reports are scrutinised
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