Articles by Jan Henrik Wosnitza
Variance estimation for the quantification of the margin of conservatism category C
This paper discusses a new estimator for probability of default and compare its performance against two alternative approaches, demonstrating the novel method to have a lower bias and variance.
Calibration alternatives to logistic regression and their potential for transferring the statistical dispersion of discriminatory power into uncertainties in probabilities of default
This paper compares four calibration approaches to linear logistic regression in credit risk estimation and proposes two new single-parameter families of differentiable functions as candidates for this regression.