Operational risk modelling

Understanding value at risk for insurers

Deborah Cernauskas, Gabriel David and Anthony Tarantino propose an amended approach to value-at-risk that focuses on the drivers of risk and the use of agent-based modelling and simulation to capture the bounded rationality of human decision-making

Brazil poised for real change on Basel II

Brazil is justifiably proud of the progress it had made in the implementation of Basel II, due for completion in 2013. However, a sudden increase in lending is raising a host of data issues and diverting management’s attention away from operational risk

Consortiums look beyond historical loss data

The financial crisis has shown historical loss data is not enough to help model and predict future op risk events, so some loss data consortiums are looking to include features such as scenario analysis results in their databases

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