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Could prediction markets go wholesale? Exchanges think so
Some venues are exploring demand for institution-focused product; others say wholesale users can play in retail space
Iran conflict squeezes hedge funds’ short inflation bets
Rising gas and oil prices have sent headline inflation soaring with some hedge funds being stopped out
‘A new model’: Marex’s plan to take on the big banks
Non-bank challenger stepping into new businesses and new markets as incumbents retrench
Goldman tripped up by VAR in Q4
BNY and Citizens also record backtesting exceptions
Podcast: Gordon Lee on how junior quants can go from newbie to MVP
Prioritising tasks and setting boundaries are key to career progression, says BNY’s head quant
Mob rule: populism’s rise pits banks against the people
Trump and fellow mavericks are reshaping politics, leaving banks scrambling to adjust to new and unpredictable risks
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Artificial intelligence
FHLB Cincinnati explores AI to spot failing banks
Agentic model detects anomalies, monitors sentiment and drafts credit reports for analyst review
BPI says SR 11-7 should go; bank model risk chiefs say ‘no’
Lobby group wants US guidance repealed; practitioners want consistent model supervision and audit
At BNY, a risk-centric approach to GenAI
Centralised platform allows bank to focus on risk management, governance and, not least, talent in its AI build
JP Morgan AI research founder and head departs
Manuela Veloso leaves as bank announces greater spend on tech and AI
Risk Quantum
Data insights, delivered daily
Risk Quantum tracks thousands of data points across hundreds of metrics from organisations that represent a cross-section of the financial system. Published daily, articles are short and broken into chunks – the facts, the context and a brief commentary – and use data visualisations to get each story across.
Goldman tripped up by VAR in Q4
BNY and Citizens also record backtesting exceptions
Risk Benchmarking
Most banks run physical climate scenarios beyond 2050
Risk Benchmarking data finds majority rely on geospatial asset mapping, while a third use third-party catastrophe models
Geopolitical risk
Hedge funds stopped out on euro steepener amid Iran conflict
Gas price rises flattened 10s30s euro swap spread, forcing investors to cut positions
Iran strikes a stress test for CCP margin models
CME’s Span2 and Ice’s IRM2 are performing as advertised. The next few days could test their mettle
Iran conflict forces EM carry trade unwinds
Surging oil prices, rising vol and dollar flight triggered stop-outs of emerging market positions, say dealers
Hedge funds trim US swap spreads on tariff decision
Investors cut back asset swap positions as Supreme Court ruling reignites deficit concerns
Climate Risk Benchmarking
Risk.net’s latest benchmarking exercise finds banks grappling with decades-long exposures, while confronting political headwinds, limited resources and data gaps
Equities
Leveraged ETFs may have fuelled Kospi plunge
Record one-day drop in Korean equity markets follows months-long surge driven by leveraged bets
After market whipsaws, banks put new twist on QIS options
Variable strike options aim to catch recoveries after volatility spikes
Real money investors cash in as dispersion nears record levels
Implied spreads were elevated to start 2026. Realised levels have been “almost unprecedented”
One Trading brings 24/7 equity trading to Europe
Start-up exchange will launch perpetual futures Clob in Q1 after AFM nod
Quant Finance Master’s Guide 2026
Risk.net’s guide to the world’s leading quant master’s programmes, with the top 25 schools ranked
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