Basel's new credit model

The Basel Committee’s new consultative paper allows banks to internally rate individual credits. But at the portfolio level, Basel wants to apply a single model framework, based in part on a technical paper published in Risk magazine in October 1998.

It’s official: the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has embraced credit risk modelling. Only a year ago, the regulators were voicing deep suspicions of models, favouring instead a ‘risk bucketing’ approach that merely refined the notoriously crude risk weights of the 1988 Capital Accord.

Risk bucketing is still there, in the form of the Standard Approach, which stipulates fixed risk weightings for given rating bands (to be supplied by sufficiently ‘transparent’ credit rating agencies)

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Credit risk & modelling – Special report 2021

This Risk special report provides an insight on the challenges facing banks in measuring and mitigating credit risk in the current environment, and the strategies they are deploying to adapt to a more stringent regulatory approach.

The wild world of credit models

The Covid-19 pandemic has induced a kind of schizophrenia in loan-loss models. When the pandemic hit, banks overprovisioned for credit losses on the assumption that the economy would head south. But when government stimulus packages put wads of cash in…

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