Easy money: Mittelstand lending glut sparks credit risk fears

In Germany, every bank wants to lend to the Mittelstand, but demand for credit is modest. As a result, interest rates on loans are falling, and some see a danger of bad lending practices making a comeback. Michael Watt reports

They were the bad old days. Distressed debt funds descended on Germany in 2003 and 2004, drawn by estimates that the country’s banks were sitting on €300 billion in non-performing loans; growth was stagnant; unemployment hit a post-war record in 2005. Behind it all, according to risk managers at the country’s listed commercial banks, was a lending market that made it impossible for them to compete on sensible terms – a market in which the Landesbanks were able to use their state-backed status to

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Credit risk & modelling – Special report 2021

This Risk special report provides an insight on the challenges facing banks in measuring and mitigating credit risk in the current environment, and the strategies they are deploying to adapt to a more stringent regulatory approach.

The wild world of credit models

The Covid-19 pandemic has induced a kind of schizophrenia in loan-loss models. When the pandemic hit, banks overprovisioned for credit losses on the assumption that the economy would head south. But when government stimulus packages put wads of cash in…

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